In the heart of Iran’s capital, a civil engineer is unraveling the complex physics behind debris flows, a natural disaster that’s becoming increasingly frequent due to climate change. Anahita Aghagoli, from the Department of Civil Engineering at Sharif University of Technology in Tehran, is shedding light on the intricate dance between fluid and solid phases in these destructive events, with significant implications for the energy sector.
Debris flows, a mix of loose sediment and water, can cause catastrophic damage to infrastructure and claim lives in mountainous regions. Unlike floods or rock avalanches, they are influenced by both fluid and solid phases, making their behavior complex and unpredictable. Aghagoli’s research, published in the journal ‘مهندسی عمران شریف’ (translated as ‘Sharif Civil Engineering’), delves into the nuances of these flows, particularly focusing on the role of unsaturated soil conditions in estimating erosion volume.
“The high mobility of debris flows results in sudden and rapid fluctuations in stress-independent variables,” Aghagoli explains. “These fluctuations can create regions of increased and decreased resistance, leading to localized variations in the stability of the flow.” This complexity, she argues, necessitates a systematic approach to predict and manage the damages caused by these flows.
One of the key findings of Aghagoli’s research is the significant role of water content in the erosion rate. In unsaturated beds, the pore pressure diffusion time is longer, meaning that as the water content increases, the erosion rate becomes significantly faster. “This results in a more significant flow momentum in wet beds compared to dryer ones,” she notes. This insight could be crucial for the energy sector, particularly in areas where hydropower plants or pipelines are located in mountainous regions prone to debris flows.
The research also highlights the need for more sophisticated numerical models to capture the instantaneous nature of debris flows. Current models, Aghagoli argues, fall short in this regard. “There is a strong need for the development of appropriate theoretical frameworks,” she states. This call to action could open up new avenues for research and development in the field of civil engineering, with potential commercial impacts for companies specializing in disaster management and risk assessment.
Moreover, the research underscores the urgent need for better understanding and management of debris flows in the face of climate change. As these events become more frequent, the energy sector will need to adapt and innovate to mitigate the risks. Aghagoli’s work is a significant step in this direction, providing valuable insights into the physics of debris flows and the role of unsaturated soil conditions.
As we grapple with the realities of climate change, research like Aghagoli’s becomes increasingly vital. It not only advances our understanding of natural disasters but also paves the way for innovative solutions that can protect lives and infrastructure. In the words of Aghagoli, “Predicting and managing damages caused by these flows requires a systematic approach that involves identifying the causes, estimating the volume and distance, and assessing vulnerable areas and at-risk infrastructures.” This systematic approach, she argues, is key to building a more resilient future.

